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Forecasting Local Election net seat gains/losses 2022
by Stephen Fisher, 3rd May 2022. There are local elections tomorrow in England, Scotland, and Wales. Table 1 below shows my forecasts for net seat changes for each. They are based on projecting changes...
View ArticleUnderstanding the Local Elections Projected National Share (PNS) in 2022
by John Curtice and Stephen Fisher, 4th May 2022. Much of the speculation about what might happen in the English local elections tomorrow has focused on how many seats each party could or should gain...
View ArticleLocal elections Projected National Share (PNS) of the vote 2022
By Stephen Fisher, 6th May 2022. The BBC Projected National Share (PNS) of the local election vote 2022 is Con 30, Lab 35, LD 19, Others 16. There is an explainer of the methodology at...
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